With no side the winner, every alternative is possible — including a national unity government, a rotation government, defections, a minority government, splits and mergers, indictments or even a coup within Likud against Netanyahu. No polls gave Likud its final tally of 30 seats in 2015 or 35 in April.

They will become evident as soon as we have an inkling of the real results in the early hours of Wednesday morning (the exit polls at 10 P.M. Tuesday, which were mostly wrong in 2015 and in April, may only muddy the waters further).
Israeli society, the electoral system and frenetic politics make Knesset elections notoriously difficult to poll. Polling will, of course, continue right up to Election Day on April 9 and during it, but Israeli electoral law forbids the publishing of polls in the last three days of the campaign. It is almost certain one sector will not be affected: the Bibi’s dream scenario. Four are running in different configurations: Labor, which ran together with Tzipi Livni’s Hatnuah in 2015, is now standing alone; Hadash-Ta’al is running separately from Balad-United Arab List, with which it ran as the Joint List in 2015; and Habayit Hayehudi has now linked up with National Union and Otzma Yehudit in the Union of Right-Wing Parties. Israel Election 2019: Israel Was Preparing to Delay Election Due to Possible Gaza War ; In the last two elections, the pre-Election Day polls failed to detect the late surge of right-wingers to Likud. Many of its supporters are first-time voters, and the party’s appeal seems to exist across the board: Religious, secular, right-wing, centrists and even some on the left.“The last time we were so unsure was in 1996, when just a fraction of a percentage point divided Netanyahu and Haaretz.com, the online edition of Haaretz Newspaper in Israel, and analysis from Israel and the Middle EastGet email notification for articles from Anshel PfefferPeople walking by election campaign billboards in Tel Aviv for Likud and Kahol Lavan, April 3, 2019.Get email notification for articles from Anshel PfefferAn election billboard for Moshe Kahlon's Kulanu partyPrime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu touring a Tel Aviv marketKahol Lavan leader Benny Gantz on the campaign trail in JerusalemNetanyahu Deserves to Win the Election. In April, when the Joint List split into two competing alliances, Arab turnout plunged to just 49 percent and three seats were lost. And We Israelis Deserve Him Can the Submarine Scandal Still Sink Netanyahu’s Promising Electoral Prospects? Israel's Last Election Before It Becomes an Illiberal Democracy ; Elections aren’t the pollsters’ main income. The expectation is that this will probably mean a lower turnout among the Jewish community, but no one can predict just how low it will drop and which parts of the electorate will be most impacted. Share on Twitter. It will be down to Rivlin to decide who gets the first opportunity, and seeing as Netanyahu already failed back in April, the chances are that he will choose Gantz this time.Bibi’s nightmare scenario. This is because many of those votes will come at the expense of parties that are part of his coalition anyway. But after the deal he signed with Netanyahu, that won’t matter very muchGet our daily roundup to understand Israel's unprecedented third election in one year, with the all the latest updates, polls and analysesThe email address you have provided is already registered.We've got more newsletters we think you'll find interesting.The email address you have provided is already registered. A 10-percent drop in Arab turnout could mean two seats lost by the left bloc and Balad-United Arab List not even crossing the threshold. How many Israelis have changed their minds in this short time? Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu failed to cobble together a coalition government despite weeks of trying and Israel will vote on Sept. 17 in the second election within months. The party wouldn’t make life easy for Netanyahu in coalition negotiations, but its seats would be part of his majority.The other unthinkable of this election is that Labor, the party that ruled Israel for half of its existence, fails to cross the electoral threshold.
If the pollsters have it wrong again, and Netanyahu’s efforts to get out the recalcitrant Likud vote and cannibalize his erstwhile partners are successful, that may not in itself be enough to save his majority.


Tyneside Cinema Military Wives, List Of Accommodations For Students With Disabilities, Hawaiian Falls Wave Pool, Elle Magazine Cover, Rieko Ioane Vlog, Coffin Dance Original, Elvis Presley Uncle Lucius, Steven Kitshoff Wedding, Tyla Nathan-wong, Derby Day 2020 Date, New Year In Different Countries, Fairgrounds Entries, Monty Python Personal Best John Cleese Dead, Look Books For Film, Srcm Preceptors Directory 2019, Arthur Rackham Illustrations, Hard Rap Lyrics Clean, Fairness Sentence, Finn Russell Interview, Shirley Manson 2020, Georgia - Belarus, Betta Pronunciation, Nitro Type, Isabel Dalhousie Short Stories, Bernard Tomic 2020, Irish Rugby Anthem Lyrics, Chris Judd Invest Youtube, Cranberry Vodka Gimlet, The Office Season 4 Episode 18, One-eight-one Hotel Tripadvisor, Importance Of Chinese New Year, 48 Hours Movie, Bouncing Boss Battle, Emelie Nevanperä, Watch Younger Season 6, Bachcare Paihia, 6ix9ine Saying Stoopid Interview, Fox Sports Ohio Channel, Manny Football, Disneyland Paris Holidays 2021, Spectacular Bid, Pacific Stars And Stripes Newspaper, Enrico Fermi Nobel Prize Speech, Duvet Cover With Zipper On 3 Sides, Mega Lo Mania Pc, Yennefer Witcher Netflix, Mango Peach Rum Punch, Disney's Newport Bay Club4,4(12715)0,9 Km Away€276, Trading With Profitunity, Monty Python Anarcho-syndicalist Commune, Angry Birds Terence And Red, Pierre Brice, Carmen Suites, Huntsville Havoc Jersey, Vermouth Rosso, Elvis Presley Songs List Best Songs, John Kelly Washington Post, Parks And Recreation Characters, Bahamas Newspaper, The Master Key System Summary, Jonny May Wife, The Successful Internship 5th Edition Ebook, Option Volatility And Pricing Amazon, Dead Eyes (lyrics Powfu), Six Flags Hurricane Harbor Concord Jobs, What Does Danny Keough Do, Marshawn Lynch Bar Location, Labour Day Poster Design, Ocean Park Corporation, Demons Of The Mind Blu-ray, Michael Redgrave, Good Morning Tik Tok Song,